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Moore Insight
2010 Oregon U.S. Senate Race – Is Wyden Vulnerable?
March 2010

Ron Wyden’s third bid for the U.S. Senate may prove to be tougher than he would have anticipated. In a recent poll, virtually unknown Republican law professor Jim Huffman performs better in a head to head ballot test against two-term incumbent Ron Wyden than Jeff Merkley did in his challenge to Senator Gordon Smith at a similar point in 2008.

The poll, conducted by Rasmussen on February 16, 2010 (N=500 likely voters) shows Wyden with 49%, while Huffman gets 35% and another 16% have no candidate preference in this contest today. Huffman’s standing against Wyden is impressive given his significant name ID disadvantage. By contrast, in January 2008, Smith led Merkley 46% to 20%.

Wyden has not faced serious opposition in his last two contests, but given the current political climate and unrest among the electorate, 2010 just might be the year the Senator gets a run for his money.

2010 U.S. Senate Race


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Bob Moore Bobm@moore-info.com 503.221.3100
Hans Kaiser Hansk@moore-info.com 410.216.9856

The survey was conducted February 20-21, 2010 among a representative sample of 500 registered voters statewide. The potential sampling error is +/-4% at the 95% confidence level.


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